In the current situation, GKI considers it difficult to make any detailed forecasts. Therefore, it only undertakes to present the possible main trends based on two scenarios. The COVID-19 is already a worldwide pandemic; however, its depth and duration are completely uncertain. While the Chinese economy is starting to show signs of recovery, COVID-19 is now spreading in Europe, and strict measures are being introduced to restrict the movements of people. The general downturn in the world’s stock exchanges, with occasional positive corrections, illustrate a climate of general fear and uncertainty.
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